THE IMPACT OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT AND REMITTANCES ON GDP GROWTH RATE OF SOUTH ASIAN ECONOMIES: AN ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS
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Author(s): |
Dr. Nazia Sultana
Dr. Khurram Shakir
Abdul Samad Shaikh Ibrahim Noorani
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Abstract | The quantitative research study was undertaken to determine the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Remittances, Inflation, Interest Rate and Exchange Rate on GDP Growth Rate of South Asian Economies i.e. Pakistan, India, Srilanka and of Chinaand of which FDI and Remittances were our main interested independent variables whereas Inflation, Interest Rate,and Exchange Rate were used as controlled variables, and GDP Growth Rate was used as a dependent variable.Since FDI and Remittances are the essential macroeconomic variables for determining the GDP Growth Rate of any country, therefore, we took these variables to see their impact on the GDP Growth Rate of South Asian Economies. Meanwhile, we extracted the yearly data of FDI, Remittances of South Asian Economies from 2001 to 2019 time period. Firstly, we performed Unit Root for checking the stationarity of the data and the results of this test revealed that the data was stationary except the data of Remittances which were made stationary after taking its 1st difference. The results of the Co-integration table revealed that there was no long-term relationship between independent variables and the dependent variable, and FDI and Remittances could not explain the long-term relationship with GDP Growth Rates and the results revealed that at 1st and 2nd difference hypothesis were rejected. Lastly, VECM Test (Model) was applied to evaluate the short-term relationship (short-run) that whetherrelationship and impact existed between independent and dependent variable or not, and the results of table revealed that FDI was significant i.e. FDI hada short-run relationship with GDP Growth Ratewhile Remittances were insignificant which suggestedthat there was no shortrun relationship of Remittances with GDP Growth Rate of South Asian Economies. |
Keywords | Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Remittances, GDP Growth Rate. |
Year | 2021 |
Volume | 1 |
Issue | 1 |
Type | Research paper, manuscript, article |
Recognized by | Higher Education Commission of Pakistan, HEC | Category | "-" | Journal Name | ILMA Journal of Social Sciences & Economics | Publisher Name | ILMA University | Jel Classification | DOI | - | ISSN no (E, Electronic) | 2709-2232 | ISSN no (P, Print) | - | Country | Pakistan | City | Karachi | Institution Type | University | Journal Type | Open Access | Manuscript Processing | Blind Peer Reviewed | Format | Paper Link | http://ijsse.ilmauniversity.edu.pk/arc/Vol1/pdf/6.pdf | Page | 92-144 |