CENTRAL BANK INDEPENDENCE AND INFLATION – OUTPUT VARIABILITY TRADEOFF

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Volume 4 Issue 1, 2023

Author(s):

Asim Mumtaz (Corresponding Author)
Bank Islami Pakistan Ltd, Karachi, Pakistan
asimmumtaz82@hotmail.com

Imran Umer Chhapra
Shaheed Zulfikar Ali Bhutto Institute of Science and Technology (SZABIST), Karachi, Pakistan

Muhammad Asghar Khan
Panzhihua University, Panzhihua, China

Sadaf Jamal
Sindh Madressatul Islam University

Abstract Global evidences show major swing towards autonomy of central banks, Theory and practice show that autonomous central banks are sufficient to maintain low and stable inflation, not due to political inclinations. Our results suggest that the level of independent and discretionary monetary policy is low, Pakistan’s central bank is not proficient enough to sustain low and stable inflation. In this paper, the central bank independence index is updated up to the year 2021; the monetary authority’s preference parameter is calculated to find gain or loss to the economy caused by the value of central bank independence through inflation-output variability trade-off. In doing so, correlation, OLS Regression, and ADF Unit Root Tests are used to check statistical significance.
Keywords Central Bank Independence, Inflation-Output Variability Tradeoff, Monetary Policy Preference Parameter, Discretionary Monetary Policy, Price Stability.
Year 2023
Volume 4
Issue 1
Type Research paper, manuscript, article
Recognized by Higher Education Commission of Pakistan, HEC
Category "Y"
Journal Name ILMA Journal of Social Sciences & Economics
Publisher Name ILMA University
Jel Classification -
DOI http://dx.doi.org/
ISSN no (E, Electronic) 2790-5896
ISSN no (P, Print) 2709-2232
Country Pakistan
City Karachi
Institution Type University
Journal Type Open Access
Manuscript Processing Blind Peer Reviewed
Format PDF
Paper Link http://ijsse.ilmauniversity.edu.pk/arc/Vol4/pdf/v1/7.pdf